Methods of foresight research 1900-7-MBF-FRT
The lecture is divided in two parts. The first one concerns research methods with a special attention paid to critical approach, cautiousness in their application, errors and biases in research design, data gathering and analysis. The second part is devoted to foresight research methods.
Quantitative and qualitative research methods
1. Sampling and RDS
2. Questionnaires
3. Focus groups
4. Errors and noise
5. Methodological and cognitive biases
Foresight research methods
1. Predicting, exploring, planning
2. Developing scenarios
3. Backcasting, roadmapping
4. Delphi method
5. Trend analysis
6. Meta-analysis
7. Visualisations
8. Evaluations and benchmarking
9. Participation methods and workshops
Main fields of studies for MISMaP
Type of course
Mode
Prerequisites (description)
Course coordinators
Learning outcomes
Effects: K_W01; K_W06 / K_U01; K_U03; K_U05;K_U08; K_U04 / K_K06; K_K07 / S3_W01; S3_W05; S3_W07 / S3_U01; S3_U03 / S3_K02
Knowledge
Students have the knowledge of foresight studies, their terminology, and their importance in spatial planning and management (S3_W01).
Students have the knowledge of methods, techniques and tools used in spatial and territorial foresight studies (S3_W05).
Students know the crucial theories, concepts and schools of thought that are used in other disciplines and utilized in territorial foresight studies (S3_W07).
Skills
Students have the skills to critically approach data sources, interpret and analyse casual relationships between processes, phenomena, and institutions in foresight studies (S3_U01).
Students can identify, predict and model complex foresight tasks, using interdisciplinary and integrated approaches (S3_U03).
Social skills
Students are aware of the need for self-advancement and continuous learning; ready to expand their professional networks, inform the wider public of the current knowledge and discussions in the field of territorial foresight studies (S3_K02).
Assessment criteria
Written exam.
Completed practice and project are a prerequisite.
Practical placement
None.
Bibliography
Foresight in Organizations: Methods and Tools (2016) Patrick van der Duin (ed.)
Hines, A.; Bishop, P. (2015) Thinking about the Future: Guidelines for Strategic Foresight.
Lustig, P (2017) Strategic Foresight: Learning from the Future
Additional information
Additional information (registration calendar, class conductors, localization and schedules of classes), might be available in the USOSweb system: