Methods of foresight research 1900-7-MBF-FRT
The lecture is divided in two parts. The first one concerns research methods with a special attention paid to critical approach, cautiousness in their application, errors and biases in research design, data gathering and analysis. The second part is devoted to foresight research methods.
Main fields of studies for MISMaP
Type of course
Mode
Prerequisites (description)
Course coordinators
Learning outcomes
Effects: K_W01; K_W06 / K_U01; K_U03; K_U05;K_U08; K_U04 / K_K06; K_K07 / S3_W01; S3_W05; S3_W07 / S3_U01; S3_U03 / S3_K02
Knowledge
Students have the knowledge of foresight studies, their terminology, and their importance in spatial planning and management (S3_W01).
Students have the knowledge of methods, techniques and tools used in spatial and territorial foresight studies (S3_W05).
Students know the crucial theories, concepts and schools of thought that are used in other disciplines and utilized in territorial foresight studies (S3_W07).
Skills
Students have the skills to critically approach data sources, interpret and analyse casual relationships between processes, phenomena, and institutions in foresight studies (S3_U01).
Students can identify, predict and model complex foresight tasks, using interdisciplinary and integrated approaches (S3_U03).
Social skills
Students are aware of the need for self-advancement and continuous learning; ready to expand their professional networks, inform the wider public of the current knowledge and discussions in the field of territorial foresight studies (S3_K02).
Practical placement
None.
Bibliography
Babbie, E., 2007, Badania społeczne w praktyce, Wydawnictwo Naukowe PWN, Warszawa.
Chan Kim, W., Mauborgne, R., 2005, Blue Ocean Strategy, Harvard Business Review Press.
Charmaz, K., 2006, Constructing Grounded Theory, Sage, London.
Christensen, C., 1997 The Innovator's Dilemma, Harvard Business School Press.
Foresight in Organizations: Methods and Tools, 2016, Patrick van der Duin (red.), Routledge.
Hines, A.; Bishop, P., 2015, Thinking about the Future: Guidelines for Strategic Foresight.
Jackson, M., 2013, Practical Foresight Guide Chapter 3 – Methods.
Kahneman, D., Sibony, O., Sunstein, C.R., 2021, Szum. Czyli skąd się biorą błędy w naszych decyzjach, przekład Piotr Szymczak, Media Rodzina.
Lapore, J., 2014, The Disruption Machine, New Yorker.
Lustig, P., 2017, Strategic Foresight: Learning from the Future, Triarchy Press.
Maison, D. 2022 Jakościowe metody badań społecznych, PWN.
Neels, C., 2015, A Systematic Literature Review of the Use of Foresight Methodologies Within Technology Policy Between 2015 and 2020, UCL, London.
Raven, P.G., 2015, Imagining the Impossible: The Shifting Role of Utopian Thought in Civic Planning, Science Fiction, and Futures Studies, Journal of Futures Studies, 20(2): 113–122.
Sarasvathy, S., 2022, Effectuation elements of entrepreneurial expertise, Edward Elgar.
Schirrmeister, E., Göhring, A-L., Warnke, P., 2019, Psychological biases and heuristics in the context of foresight and scenario processes, Futures Foresight Science.
Science for Policy Handbook, 2020, Foresight – Using Science and Evidence to Anticipate and Shape the Future, chapter 12.
Serra, J., 2005, Territorial Foresight: More than Planning Less than Prospective, Journal of Futures Studies, 9(3): 81–88.
Sturge, G., 2022, Bad Data: How Governments, Politicians and the Rest of Us Get Misled by Numbers, The Bridge Street Press, London.
Sułek, A., 2002, Ogród metodologii socjologicznej, Wydawnictwo Scholar, Warszawa.
Surmiak, A. Etyka badań jakościowych w praktyce. Analiza doświadczeń badaczy z osobami podatnymi na zranienie, Scholar.
Tetlock, P., Gardner, D., 2016, Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, Crown.
The Delphi Method Techniques and Applications, 2002, Linstone, H., Turoff, M. (red.).
Wheelan, C., 2013, Naked Statistics, Norton, NY.
Additional information
Additional information (registration calendar, class conductors, localization and schedules of classes), might be available in the USOSweb system: